International Journal of Circuits, Systems and Signal Processing

   
E-ISSN: 1998-4464
Volume 15, 2021

Notice: As of 2014 and for the forthcoming years, the publication frequency/periodicity of NAUN Journals is adapted to the 'continuously updated' model. What this means is that instead of being separated into issues, new papers will be added on a continuous basis, allowing a more regular flow and shorter publication times. The papers will appear in reverse order, therefore the most recent one will be on top.

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Volume 15, 2021

Title of the Paper: Methodical Approach to Forecasting the Intensification of Innovative Development of Regions Using the Mathcad Program

Authors: Olha Popelo, Svitlana Tulchynska, Nataliia Lagodiienko, Michael A. Radin, Artem Moskalenko

Pages: 1591-1601 

DOI: 10.46300/9106.2021.15.171     XML

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Abstract: The authors have improved the methodical approach to assessing and forecasting the intensification of innovative development of regions, which contains a justification for the selection of statistical indicators of innovative development of regions, which are checked for compliance with the grouping by correlation analysis. The use of correlation analysis using Mathcad software makes it possible to eliminate autocorrelation relationships between selected assessment indicators of innovative development of regions. Confirmation of the weight of the grouping of evaluation indicators provides calculations of impact factors and determination of the most influential indicators on the integrated index of innovative development of regions using Mathcad software. The influence of the most influential indicators is also taken into account when forecasting the integrated index on the basis of estimated indicators using the Bartlett method. Predictive values and calculations of the integrated index of innovative development can be used in the practice of local and regional authorities to develop effective measures to enhance the intensification of innovative development of regions, taking into account the most influential factors for a particular region. The proposed methodological approach to forecasting innovative development was tested on the example of Polish regions, all calculations were performed using Mathcad software. For a more thorough analysis, three different voivodeships of Poland were selected, which belong to the voivodeships with high, medium and low levels of innovative development, have different and most influential indicators on the value of the integrated index. Such voivodeships include Kujawsko-Pomorskie, Pomeranian and Swiętokrzyskie. When forecasting with the use of Mathcad software, which makes it possible to eliminate errors in calculations, an increase in the average value of the integrated index of innovation development was obtained.